Historical GDP Nowcast
2026-Q3
Historical Data: This shows the nowcast evolution for 2026-Q3. You can see how the GDP growth estimate changed as new economic data was released throughout the quarter. This is a purely statistical nowcast and does not represent the views of any individual or organization.
Nowcast Evolution & Component Contributions
Component Details
| Date | Updated Series | Consumption | Equip. | Nonres. struct. | Intel. prop. | Res. Inv. | Inventories ($bn) | Government | Exports | Imports | GDP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Initialize | 3.10% | 7.60% | -9.97% | 7.22% | 0.10% | -6.00 | 0.43% | 5.46% | 2.81% | 3.76% |
| 2026-07-31 | Vehicle sales, Vehicle sales, Auto inventories | 3.10% | 7.64% | -9.97% | 7.22% | 0.10% | -6.00 | 0.43% | 5.46% | 2.81% | 3.76% |
| 2026-08-03 | Public construction, Nonres Construction spending, Res. construction spending | 3.10% | 7.64% | -2.30% | 7.22% | 0.10% | -6.00 | 0.22% | 5.46% | 2.81% | 3.95% |
| 2026-08-04 | Real goods exports, Real goods Imports, Total Bus. Inventories, Advance inventories, Advance inventories (Subsectors) | 3.10% | 7.64% | -2.30% | 7.22% | 0.10% | -11.37 | 0.22% | 7.20% | 4.30% | 3.84% |
| 2026-08-07 | Vehicle sales, Gov. payroll, Intel. property investment | 3.10% | 7.64% | -2.30% | 7.17% | 0.10% | -11.37 | -0.62% | 7.20% | 4.30% | 3.69% |
| 2026-08-12 | Real goods exports, Real goods Imports, Res. construction spending | 3.10% | 7.64% | -2.30% | 7.17% | 0.10% | -11.37 | -0.62% | 7.20% | 5.85% | 3.47% |
| 2026-08-13 | Net outlays, Public construction | 3.10% | 7.64% | -2.30% | 7.17% | 0.10% | -11.37 | -0.59% | 7.20% | 5.85% | 3.47% |
| 2026-08-14 | Control retail sales, Net outlays | 2.11% | 7.64% | -2.30% | 7.17% | 0.10% | -11.37 | -0.96% | 7.20% | 5.85% | 2.73% |
| 2026-08-18 | IP, Real goods exports, Real goods Imports, Intel. property investment, Total Bus. Inventories, Advance inventories, Advance inventories (Subsectors), Gas and wells, Housing starts, Housing permits, Res. construction spending | 2.11% | 10.31% | -2.31% | 7.93% | -2.77% | -12.25 | -0.96% | 7.20% | 4.30% | 3.02% |